US labour market data shows softening, while SA’s electricity generation stabilises

Loading player...
A consistent message is coming through latest US labour market data releases: labour market conditions are softening as high interest rates are having an impact. Although the US added 206,000 jobs in June, more than expected, many are being generated in non-cyclical sectors like government, education and health care. The unemployment rate is now 4.1% and seems to be edging higher. We believe the US Federal Reserve may be able to consider cutting interest rates by 25 bps at its September FOMC meeting.
It has been more than 100 days since SA experienced load shedding. The Electricity Availability Factor (EAF) has held above 60% for over two months and although unplanned maintenance is still significant, it appears to be holding at a relatively low level. However, to grow the economy faster than 1-1.5% a year, SA needs more electricity capacity. Lack of sufficient power generation remains a key hindrance to the country’s growth ambitions. Click here to listen to the podcast.
8 Jul 2024 English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

FLAC notes explained: What corporate treasurers need to know about SA's Banking reforms

Financial Loss-Absorbing Capacity (FLAC) notes are set to transform South Africa's fixed income market as banks gradually replace senior unsecured debt issuance. But what does this mean for corporate treasurers, cash management strategies, and investment portfolios? In this episode of the Corporate Conversation podcast, I chat to Eulali Gouws, Head…
21 Jul 7 min

How private capital can accelerate South Africa's infrastructure roll-out

South Africa has no shortage of infrastructure needs, yet many projects remain stuck in the planning, concept, or procurement stages, preventing them from attracting the capital needed to drive economic growth. In this episode of The More You Know, Jeremy Maggs speaks with Tracy Spence, Head of Institutional Distribution at…
20 Jul 17 min

US Interest rate hike risks rise as oil spikes

Is cooling US inflation a sign of easing monetary policy, or will rising oil prices trigger another interest rate hike? In this episode of the STANLIB Economic Outlook, Chief Economist Kevin Lings breaks down the latest global macro shifts shaping investment markets. We analyze the sharp drop in US Consumer…
20 Jul 13 min

SA’s manufacturing industry: challenges, risks and opportunities

South Africa's manufacturing sector recorded modest growth of 1.1% month-on-month in May, but the longer-term picture remains concerning. Since the Covid-19 pandemic, the sector has contracted by 13.4%, raising important questions about the future of industrial production, employment and economic growth. In this episode, we explore the factors contributing to…
13 Jul 6 min

US employment growth vs SA's job losses explained

In this podcast, STANLIB Asset Management’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, examines the latest US and South African employment data, exploring why the US economy continues to create jobs while South Africa's formal sector employment remains under pressure. In June, the US added 57,000 non-farm jobs, supporting steady economic growth despite…
6 Jul 10 min