Geopolitical and fiscal risks will continue to feature in global markets in 2024

Loading player...
The resilience of the US equity market, and especially the tech sector, continued to surprise investors in Q2 2024, says Marius Oberholzer, STANLIB’s Head of Multi-Asset. For the rest of 2024, he anticipates risks around global geopolitics, with elections seeing a swing to the right, fiscal deficits, and whether inflation data continues to soften. China remains a concern for all investors. Although he recommends South African investors maintain a reasonable level of offshore exposure, at about 35-40% of a total portfolio, he says SA is beginning to attract more investor interest.
25 Jul 2024 English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

Surprise SA retail figures in July, with softening trend expected

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, focuses on the US interest rate decision to hike rates by 25bps and what the environment suggests for interest rates going forward, with at least two hikes expected this year. He also examines SA retail sales in July, which surprised strongly to…
21 Sep 11 min

SA Q2 GDP disappoints as US inflation stays sticky

In this podcast, STANLIB Asset Management's, Chief Economist, Kevin Lings examines South Africa’s disappointing Q2 GDP growth and persistently high US PCE inflation. South Africa recorded declines across key sectors, including mining, manufacturing and retail activity, with STANLIB forecasting economic growth of just 1.1% for the full year. In the…
14 Sep 13 min

US labour market stays solid; SA businesses still reluctant to invest

What do stronger-than-expected US jobs numbers mean for interest rates, markets, and investors? And why are South African businesses still holding back on investment despite ongoing efforts to stimulate growth? In this episode, STANLIB Asset Management's Chief Economist, Kevin Lings unpacks the latest economic data, including robust US job creation…
7 Sep 8 min

Warsh expected to follow tough talk on inflation with interest rate hikes

In this podcast, STANLIB Chief Economist Kevin Lings unpacks US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent speech at the Jackson Hole conference, including his reaffirmation of the Fed’s 2% inflation target and his approach to monetary policy guidance. Kevin also considers the resilience of the US economy and why Warsh’s…
31 Aug 12 min

South Africa inflation outlook: Could rates rise again?

In this podcast, STANLIB Chief Economist Kevin Lings unpacks the key drivers and risks shaping South Africa’s inflation outlook, as well as the recent slowdown in retail sales. While inflation improved in July, short-term risks remain, including higher fuel prices and the potential impact of El Niño on summer crops…
24 Aug 14 min