NOW Ep110: US priced for perfection

Loading player...
The US market is trading ~40% above fair value. What could cause those lofty valuations to deflate? This week on No Ordinary Wednesday, Chris Holdsworth, Chief Investment Strategist at Investec Wealth & Investment International, unpacks the key findings of Investec’s latest Global Investment View, highlighting risks for global investors and where opportunities lie outside the US, including: Europe is loosening fiscal policy to support growth, China is rolling out stimulus, with commodities rallying in response and in South Africa equities remain cheap with commodities and improving SOEs providing tailwinds.

Podcast key moments:

00:00 – Introduction
01:17 - The global investment strategy group keeps its global risk score unchanged
02:48 - What’s keeping valuations elevated in the US?
04:04 - AI driven investment providing a new growth engine
05:14 – Inflation risks in the US
05:41 - Why Europe and China look relatively attractive
07:18 – Why do SA risk assets remain cheap?
08:15 – Eskom, Transnet and the SA economy
09:44 - Local bonds have rerated
10:47 – What should investors be watching in the next 12 to 18 months

Read more on www.investec.com/now

Hosted by seasoned broadcaster, Jeremy Maggs, the No Ordinary Wednesday podcast unpacks the latest economic, business and political news in South Africa, with an all-star cast of investment and wealth managers, economists and financial planners from Investec. Listen in every second Wednesday for an in-depth look at what's moving markets, shaping the economy, and changing the game for your wallet and your business.
Chapters
  • 00:00 Introduction
  • 01:17 The global investment strategy group keeps its global risk score unchanged
  • 02:48 What’s keeping valuations elevated in the US?
  • 04:04 AI driven investment providing a new growth engine
  • 05:14 Inflation risks in the US
  • 05:41 Why Europe and China look relatively attractive
  • 07:18 Why do SA risk assets remain cheap?
  • 08:15 Eskom, Transnet and the SA economy
  • 09:44 Local bonds have rerated
  • 10:47 What should investors be watching in the next 12 to 18 months
30 Sep 2025 English South Africa Business · Investing

Other recent episodes

What Next? Bridging the trust gap

In this episode of What Next?, Professor Mike Kenny (Cambridge) and Jacinta Koolmatrie examine the breakdown of trust between communities and institutions. They discuss how centralised governance and economic shifts have driven local grievances, and argue that rebuilding trust requires sharing power, working at community pace, and supporting locally led…
2 Apr 52 min

NOW Ep124: A crude awakening for inflation?

Interest rate cuts were meant to define 2026. Now, markets are bracing for hikes. In this episode of No Ordinary Wednesday, Investec’s Chief Economists Annabel Bishop and Phil Shaw examine how the energy shock is forcing central banks to reconsider their path. From London to Pretoria, policymakers face a familiar…
31 Mar 24 min

Macro Monday Ep110: Little sign of a near-term end to the war

With little sign of an early resolution to the war in the Middle East, supply constraints on commodities such as oil, gas, and helium may well endure. Chris Holdsworth Chief Investment Strategist, at Investec Wealth & Investment International notes that fuel prices likely to feed through quickly into consumer inflation,…
30 Mar 8 min

What Next? | Making the transition investable

Clean and green growth has moved from ambition to execution, but the challenge is one of pace. Investment conditions are key: predictable rules, credible pathways, and coordination across value chains, finance and government. This episode of What Next? Leadership Conversations for a Better Future, Helena Norrman, Marina Grossi, and Sang-Hyup…
27 Mar 35 min

Everything Counts | Episode 44: What the new 2026 tax allowances mean for you?

The new tax year is here, and the 2026 Budget Speech introduced important changes that could reshape how South Africans save, invest, and plan for retirement. In this episode of Everything Counts, host Motheo Khoaripe sits down with Vumi Dludlu, Investec financial adviser, and Johan Loubser, head of adviser enablement…
23 Mar 18 min