S04 Ep27 Energy Market Update: Brent climbs above $116 as Strait of Hormuz crisis deepens

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Geopolitical tensions in the Gulf have intensified, adding renewed upward pressure on global energy prices. President Donald Trump initially gave Iran a 48-hour ultimatum to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, warning that failure to comply could trigger strikes on Iranian power infrastructure. This raised concerns about a broader escalation, particularly the risk of retaliatory attacks on energy assets across the region.

Markets found some short-term relief as the deadline was extended, first by five days and then by a further ten, with the current deadline now set for the 6th of April. While this suggests some room for diplomacy, the situation remains highly fragile.

The continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz is still a major concern. It is a critical artery for global oil supply, moving around 16 million barrels per day, which is close to 20% of global demand. Any prolonged closure has significant implications for energy markets.

Looking ahead, uncertainty remains elevated. There is still a risk of further military escalation, including the possible deployment of US ground forces and potential strikes on key Iranian export infrastructure. For now, oil and gas prices are expected to remain under upward pressure.

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30 Mar English South Africa Business

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