Sentiments in SA agriculture

Loading player...
This week we discuss sentiments in SA agriculture and agribusiness. This is an important matter because it influences the long-term investment path and growth of the sector.
The sentiments in agriculture are measured through the Agbiz/IDC Agribusiness Confidence Index (ACI).

In its recent reading, after a 4-point decline in Q4 2022, the Agbiz/IDC Agribusiness Confidence Index (ACI) deteriorated further by 5 points in Q1 2023 to 44. The current reading is the lowest since Q2 2020 when Covid-19 lockdown restrictions were first implemented. Notably, the first quarter reading is below the neutral 50-point level, implying that agribusinesses are downbeat about business conditions.

The persistent and intense episodes of load-shedding, higher input costs, rising protection in some export markets, rising interest rates, intensified geopolitical tensions which disrupted supply chains, and ongoing weaknesses in municipal service delivery and network industries were again the key factors survey respondents cited as their primary concerns.

This survey was conducted in the final two weeks of February, covering businesses operating in all agricultural subsectors across South Africa.

Addressing the electricity crisis and sector-focused issues such as biosecurity, opening up more export markets and dealing with inefficiencies in municipality service delivery are some of the key issues that will help improve sentiment and the fortunes of our agriculture and agribusiness sectors.
My writings on agricultural economic matters are available on my blog: https://wandilesihlobo.com/

Podcast production by: Lwandiso Gwarubana, Richard Humphries, and Sam Mkokeli
26 Mar 2023 English South Africa Investing · Food

Other recent episodes

Is it not too soon to be considering food price increases in South Africa?

South Africa indeed transports much of its agriculture and food products by road. For example, 80% of South African staple grain products are transported by road. We see similar volumes in other commodities. Agricultural products are also processed in certain regions and then transported to various consumption points. This means…
18 Mar 6 min

South Africa’s agricultural outlook for 2026 remains positive

We are in another favourable agricultural season in South Africa, with favourable rains that enabled the farmers to plant and supported the grazing veld for the livestock industry. This builds on a better agricultural performance in 2025, a year of La Niña rains that supported the sector. The only significant…
10 Jan 10 min