South Africa's agriculture in 2024 and outlook for 2025

Loading player...
We can view 2024 in South Africa's agriculture as a "mixed" year. Indeed, the GDP figures will show a sharp contraction in South Africa's agricultural fortunes in 2024. But a deep dive will illuminate a more nuanced picture of mixed performance. For example, the field crops and livestock subsectors had their fair share of challenges, while the horticulture subsector had a relatively better year.

First, the mid-summer drought led to a 23% decline in South Africa's 2023-24 summer grains and oilseeds to 15,40 million tonnes. Second, animal disease continued to be a major challenge for farmers. This is understandable because we have had various cases of foot-and-mouth disease in cattle, African swine fever in pigs, and avian influenza in poultry over the past three years.

Third, there were also positive developments in South Africa's agriculture this year. One such positive development, which is not necessarily agriculture-specific, is the improvement in electricity supply. This positively contributed to the sector and partly to the robust horticulture production. For example, when one considers the dependence of South Africa's agriculture on horticulture, it is always worth highlighting that all of South Africa's horticulture – fruits and vegetables depends on irrigation that needs an adequate power supply. In crucial field crops, roughly 20% of maize, 15% of soybean, 34% of sugarcane, and nearly half of wheat are produced under irrigation.

As we start 2025, the sector has renewed optimism regarding expected better rainfall and improvements in the animal disease control front. This year's focus should remain on the opening of export markets, improvement of the network industries, and improving municipality performance.

Listen to the podcast for more insights.

Richard Humphries, Sam Mkokeli, and Amanda Murimba produce this podcast.
6 Jan English South Africa Investing · Food

Other recent episodes

Will China open up for more agricultural products from South Africa?

We are yet to receive more details on China's intentions to lower import tariffs for various African countries. What is worth emphasising for now is that, from a South African agricultural perspective, this would be a welcome development. China has profound importance in global agriculture. In 2023, China was a…
13 Jun 10 min

South Africa's agricultural exports up 10% in the first quarter of 2025

In a year where trade has dominated the headlines since the U.S. started imposing higher tariffs against its trading partners, agricultural export activity is worth paying close attention to. Encouragingly, the start of the year has remained positive for the sector. In the first quarter of 2025, South Africa's agricultural…
6 Jun 10 min

Southern Africa's grain production rebounds

The Southern Africa region is far better regarding food supplies today than a year ago. For example, Zambia's 2024-25 maize crop has bounced back. The government forecasts the harvest to be 3,66 million tonnes, up from 1,5 million tonnes the previous season. This is because of favourable weather conditions and…
30 May 12 min

South African farms are not under siege

One of the themes that dominated the White House Press session this evening was agriculture – the idea that the farming sector in South Africa is under siege and people are running away. But this could be no further than reality. The South African farming sector or farming community is…
23 May 12 min

South Africa cushioned the southern Africa region from a maize supply crisis

At the end of April, we completed South Africa's 2024-25 marketing year for maize. This marketing year corresponds with the 2023-24 production season, which was challenged by the mid-summer drought and led to the 22% decline in South Africa’s maize harvest to 12,85 million tonnes. The big help in that…
15 May 13 min